Ready for the next War (and Peace)?

A foresight exercise on future scenarios may help understanding what’s coming after the COVID-19 crisis

Photo by Drew Beamer on Unsplash

What happens when we move our focus to a broader scope, a much longer timeframe, and a vaste range of possibilities that are out of our usual perspective?

Are we really able to foresee what will happen in (really) long term futures, at global scale?

We are storytelling animals. [Jonathan Gottschield]

STEP 1. SCENARIO SELECTION

STEP 2. SCENARIO ALLOCATION

(A) Continuation

(B) Disruption

(C) Intermediate

(D) Alternative trajectory

(E) Out-of-the-box unlikely trajectory

STEP 3. SCENARIO ALLOCATION.

There is a continuum of possible evolutions, which can be towards global fragmentation, or aligned with continuation of the current status quo with minimal variations, or transformative future visions.

But now the future is there, ready for you to explore!

Data science, social and media analysis. Data, software and models all around.

Get the Medium app

A button that says 'Download on the App Store', and if clicked it will lead you to the iOS App store
A button that says 'Get it on, Google Play', and if clicked it will lead you to the Google Play store